# Tavily Search Results: Dusty

**Query:** extreme weather events US and worldwide  
**Topic:** news  
**Results:** 5  
**Date:** 2026-05-25 12:07:06

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## 1. US will see below-average 2026 hurricane season with up to 14 named storms, Noaa predicts - The Guardian

**URL:** [https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/21/hurricane-season-2026-noaa](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/21/hurricane-season-2026-noaa)  
**Score:** 0.8056

### Summary

In the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, he said, forecasters predict a 70% chance of above normal activity, with 15 to 22 named storms, nine to 14 hurricanes, five to nine major hurricanes in the eastern Pacific and five to 13 tropical cyclones in the central Pacific.

The forecast came amid warnings from experts that the US was unprepared for hurricane season. The Trump administration has overseen staffing cuts which have forced the National Weather Service (NWS) to scale back satellites and balloon launches – key parts of the country’s data collection system.

Cuts have also left staff at the Noaa and the NWS “spread too thin”, John Morales, a meteorologist, said. This has degraded the country’s ability to forecast climate-fuelled extreme weather, he said. [...] Predictions from private forecasting companies and scholars have indicated the US could see an average or slightly below-average level of hurricane activity. Colorado State University predicts about three-quarters of the typical storm activity in a season, with projected 13 named storms, six developing into hurricanes and three of those strengthening into category 3 or stronger storms. Meanwhile, Accuweather expects a near-or-below average season, with 11 to 16 named storms, up to seven of which could develop into hurricanes.

Research shows that as the climate crisis persists, the US could see more intense swings in hurricane activity, from quiet seasons to above-average ones, from year to year. [...] Of the eight to 14 named storms, one to three hurricanes are expected to become category 3 to 5, with winds at 111mph or more. Three to six storms will also develop into category 1 hurricanes, with winds at 74mph or more, the forecasters expect.

Forecasters this year are contending with a confounding mix of climatic factors, including warm ocean temperatures, which can fuel more intense storms, and a developing El Niño, which can suppress development in the Atlantic Ocean but churn up more powerful storms in the Pacific.

“There’s a 98% chance of El Niño conditions occurring later this season, and an 80% chance that this El Niño will be moderate to strong,” said Jacobs.

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# US will see below-average 2026 hurricane season with up to 14 named storms, Noaa predicts

Forecast came amid warning that US was unprepared for storms with staffing cuts under Trump administration

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The [US](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news) will see a below-normal [hurricane](https://www.theguardian.com/world/hurricanes) season in 2026, federal government scientists said on Thursday, predicting eight to 14 named storms with winds at 39mph or more.

The season has a “55% chance of being below normal, 35% chance of near normal and a 10% chance of above normal,” said Neil Jacobs, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) administrator, at a press conference.

Of the eight to 14 named storms, one to three hurricanes are expected to become category 3 to 5, with winds at 111mph or more. Three to six storms will also develop into category 1 hurricanes, with winds at 74mph or more, the forecasters expect.

Forecasters this year are contending with a confounding mix of climatic factors, including warm ocean temperatures, which can fuel more intense storms, and a developing El Niño, which can suppress development in the Atlantic Ocean but churn up more powerful storms in the Pacific.

“There’s a 98% chance of El Niño conditions occurring later this season, and an 80% chance that this El Niño will be moderate to strong,” said Jacobs.

In the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, he said, forecasters predict a 70% chance of above normal activity, with 15 to 22 named storms, nine to 14 hurricanes, five to nine major hurricanes in the eastern Pacific and five to 13 tropical cyclones in the central Pacific.

The forecast came amid warnings from experts that the US was unprepared for hurricane season. The Trump administration has [overseen staffing cuts](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/18/trump-cuts-ai-weather-prediction-forecasts) which have forced the National Weather Service (NWS) to scale back [satellites](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/28/noaa-cuts-hurricane-forecasting-climate) and [balloon launches](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/27/alaska-storm-emergency-response-trump-cuts) – key parts of the country’s data collection system.

Cuts have also left staff at the Noaa and the NWS “spread too thin”, John Morales, a meteorologist, said. This has degraded the country’s ability to forecast climate-fuelled extreme weather, he said.

“As a result, we head into the 2026 Atlantic and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons with a diminished lack of confidence in accurately forecasting tropical threats,” said Morales.

Noaa’s flagship weather model, the American Global Forecast System, has shown a decline in skill, pushing it back to 2019 levels of confidence, he added. “Whether that’s the result of missing balloon weather releases, or the loss of seasoned atmospheric-modelling scientists is yet unknown,” he said.

Trump officials have also presided over big cuts to emergency management services and are  [considering further shrinkage](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/09/trump-council-fema-disaster-preparedness), which experts warn could further erode US capacity to handle hurricanes.

Predictions from private forecasting companies and scholars have indicated the US could see an average or slightly below-average level of hurricane activity. Colorado State University predicts about three-quarters of the typical storm activity in a season, with projected 13 named storms, six developing into hurricanes and three of those strengthening into category 3 or stronger storms. Meanwhile, Accuweather expects a near-or-below average season, with 11 to 16 named storms, up to seven of which could develop into hurricanes.

Research [shows](https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/05/the-next-era-of-atlantic-hurricanes-could-be-far-more-destructive/) that as the climate crisis persists, the US could see more intense swings in hurricane activity, from quiet seasons to above-average ones, from year to year.

A “below-average” hurricane season could still pose serious dangers to Americans, said Ken Graham, director o

*[Content truncated...]*

---

## 2. Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino - AP News

**URL:** [https://apnews.com/article/hurricanes-atlantic-pacific-el-nino-damage-risk-419de66615c5eb9b2974ef14b4d2f50b](https://apnews.com/article/hurricanes-atlantic-pacific-el-nino-damage-risk-419de66615c5eb9b2974ef14b4d2f50b)  
**Score:** 0.3594

### Summary

Hurricane, typhoon and cyclone are the same weather event, with the different names being used in different parts of the world.

“We should expect a less active year than certainly what we’ve seen recently, and perhaps significantly so below average,” said University at Albany atmospheric scientist Kristen Corbosiero. “But again, it only takes one to cause real devastation and destruction in the mainland U.S. or even in Hawaii.”

## El Nino decapitates Atlantic storms

People bike past damaged homes and debris left by Hurricane Milton, on the sand-coated main road of southern Manasota Key, already cleared of feet of sand, in Englewood, Fla., Oct. 13, 2024. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell, File)

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This is after nine of the last 10 Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above normal or even hyperactive, Klotzbach said. Last year started slow, but then had a burst, producing a near-record total of three Category 5 hurricanes, including Melissa which devastated Jamaica and Cuba, said Suzana Camargo, a climate scientist and tropical weather expert at Columbia University.

Inflation adjusted damage across the globe from tropical cyclones has increased from an average of $11.4 billion a year in the 1980s to $109.7 billion a year over the past ten years, with three-quarters of the damage done in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, according to insurance giant Munich Re. [...] SECTIONS

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## 3. Texas storms prompt canceled flights as north-east heatwave comes to a close - The Guardian

**URL:** [https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/20/texas-storms-canceled-flights-north-east-heatwave](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/20/texas-storms-canceled-flights-north-east-heatwave)  
**Score:** 0.2365

### Summary

The unstable spring season weather has led to rainfall deficits across portions of the mid-Atlantic and south-east. Rivers, including the Potomac and Shenandoah, are experiencing record-low flow rates, and Baltimore officials are encouraging voluntary water conservation, Accuweather said.

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## Most viewed [...] “The seemingly endless temperature rollercoaster this spring will continue through the holiday weekend with another sharp cooldown across the north-eastern quarter of the nation,” said Brett Anderson, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.

“This persistent pattern of major temperature swings has clearly wreaked havoc on plants and agriculture across the north-east, as the region has gone from record-breaking heat to hard freezes, then back to leaf-withering heat and now another chilly stretch,” he added. [...] North Texas is expecting at least 1in of rain from Wednesday through Friday with chances of isolated flooding, according to the National Weather Service, with the greatest chance of flooding on Thursday.

A severe thunderstorm watch is also in place over central Texas. The weather service warned that some areas could record between 3in and 5in of rain.

In the north-east, Wednesday marks the last day of a heatwave as severe storms are expected to roll through, dropping temperatures down from the mid-90sF to the mid 60sF. Temperatures in New York City hit a high temperature of roughly 92F in Central Park on Tuesday.

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# Texas storms prompt canceled flights as north-east heatwave comes to a close

Flash flood warnings and school closures in Texas as the US north-east breaks heat records before a dramatic cooldown

Hundreds of flight cancellations have been reported in [Texas](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/texas) as storms roll over the state, leading to flash flood warnings and school closures, while punishingly high temperatures in the north-east break records before a dramatic cool-down.

Nearly 150 flights were canceled or delayed at Dallas Fort Worth international airport on Wednesday and nearly 700 delayed on Tuesday, [according to Flightaware](https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today/dfw). The FAA issued a ground stop in Dallas and Love Field.

North Texas is expecting at least 1in of rain from Wednesday through Friday with chances of isolated flooding, according to the National Weather Service, with the greatest chance of flooding on Thursday.

A severe thunderstorm watch is also in place over central Texas. The weather service warned that some areas could record between 3in and 5in of rain.

In the north-east, Wednesday marks the last day of a heatwave as severe storms are expected to roll through, dropping temperatures down from the mid-90sF to the mid 60sF. Temperatures in New York City hit a high temperature of roughly 92F in Central Park on Tuesday.

“The seemingly endless temperature rollercoaster this spring will continue through the holiday weekend with another sharp cooldown across the north-eastern quarter of the nation,” [said](https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/northeasts-temperatures-crash-25-50-181919578.html) Brett Anderson, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.

“This persistent pattern of major temperature swings has clearly wreaked havoc on plants and agriculture across the north-east, as the region has gone from record-breaking heat to hard freezes, then back to leaf-withering heat and now another chilly stretch,” he added.

The unstable spring season weather has led to rainfall deficits across portions of the mid-Atlantic and south-east. Rivers, including the Potomac and Shenandoah, are experiencing record-low flow rates, and Baltimore officials are encouraging voluntary water conservation, Accuweather said.

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## 4. FACT FOCUS: Trump distorts recent revisions of scientific projections of global warming - AP News

**URL:** [https://apnews.com/article/trump-climate-change-fact-check-93087e5b751dc15852a33c734576f375](https://apnews.com/article/trump-climate-change-fact-check-93087e5b751dc15852a33c734576f375)  
**Score:** 0.2147

### Summary

Even with the lowest amount warming projected “we enter danger,” Rockström said. “We enter danger both from extreme events (such as floods, heat waves and droughts) but also from risks of crossing tipping points” such as loss of coral and glaciers.

The now-jettisoned scenario was “a relevant low-probability high-risk scenario” with a role to help governments “be prepared with the possible risks of climate change. For instance, living in the Netherlands — a country possibly vulnerable to flooding — I would not like my government to only look at the best-guess scenario, but also explore what the risks are,” Van Vuuren said. [...] \_\_\_

Find AP Fact Checks here: 

\_\_\_

The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

SETH BORENSTEIN

Borenstein is an Associated Press science writer, covering climate change, disasters, physics and other science topics. He is based in Washington, D.C.

twitter   mailto [...] Even when it was created 15 years ago, that worst case scenario was unlikely — there were other scenarios that were considered more likely. But the most extreme scenario was still possible if the world went on a fossil fuel heavy binge, in particular continuing to use coal, the most dirty fossil fuel, in a big way. It projected an end of the century warming of about 8 degrees Fahrenheit (4.5 degrees Celsius) compared to the mid 1800s.

It was not alarmism, said climate scientist Detlef Van Vuuren of Utrecht University, lead author of the new study laying out future scenarios, and Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany.

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## 5. Weather tracker: flash floods in New York and a heat dome in Europe - The Guardian

**URL:** [https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/25/weather-tracker-flash-floods-new-york-heat-dome-europe](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/25/weather-tracker-flash-floods-new-york-heat-dome-europe)  
**Score:** 0.1895

### Summary

Meanwhile, western Europe is sweltering under a heat dome – warm air trapped under a strong area of persistent high pressure. The first major heat event of 2026 has come unusually early: temperatures in May rarely rise above 30C as far north as the UK, France and Germany, large parts of which are experiencing temperatures 10-15C above the climate average.

Monday and Tuesday will be the peak of the heatwave in some ways, with temperatures most widely above average at this time, before the worst of the heat becomes more confined to France and Iberia later this week. [...] Skip to navigation

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# Weather tracker: flash floods in New York and a heat dome in Europe

Lauren Herdman (Metdesk)

Rain overwhelms sewer system in parts of US city, while temperatures in France break May record

New York City saw flash flooding on Wednesday, as large parts of Brooklyn and Queens received about 2in (50mm) of rainfall in as little as 20 minutes. Officials said the deluge caused water to flow into the sewer system at a rate of up to 6in an hour, quickly overwhelming an aged network that was designed to accommodate just 1.75in an hour. [...] France has already broken its May record of 30.5C, as temperatures have peaked in the low 30s each day since Thursday, and higher is still to come. Temperatures more than 10C above average are expected in places until the weekend and parts of the south-west could reach 37-38C.

Spain and Portugal have not threatened their May records (44.4C and 40.0C respectively) and are unlikely to do so, but they will have the most prolonged hot spell. Across the end of May and first part of June, temperatures will remain widely 5-10C above average across Iberia. Temperatures have peaked in the high 30s each day since Thursday and are forecast to continue doing so.

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[Analysis](/tone/analysis)

# Weather tracker: flash floods in New York and a heat dome in Europe

Lauren Herdman (Metdesk)

Rain overwhelms sewer system in parts of US city, while temperatures in France break May record

New York City saw flash flooding on Wednesday, as large parts of Brooklyn and Queens received about 2in (50mm) of rainfall in as little as 20 minutes. Officials said the deluge caused water to flow into the sewer system at a rate of up to 6in an hour, quickly overwhelming an aged network that was designed to accommodate just 1.75in an hour.

Residents and commuters found themselves wading knee-deep through flood water that flowed with dangerous speed in places. One video showed a woman alighting from a bus losing her footing and being dragged along by the torrent of water. Several major roads were blocked, including the Long Island Expressway, and subway services were disrupted as water spilled into stations. Large amounts of mud and other debris was left behind; videos showed bags of rubbish being swept down streets along with loose litter.

The downpours were part of a series of storms affecting New Jersey and New York states, with strong gusts also causing damage and disruption. Several trees and power lines were brought down, and at one point on Wednesday night more than 10,000 people were without power.

Meanwhile, western Europe is sweltering under a heat dome – warm air trapped under a strong area of persistent high pressure. The first major heat event of 2026 has come unusually early: temperatures in May rarely rise above 30C as far north [as the UK](https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/may/24/uk-heatwave-expected-as-temperatures-near-record-highs-for-may), France and Germany, large parts of which are experiencing temperatures 10-15C above the climate average.

Monday and Tuesday will be the peak of the heatwave in some ways, with temperatures most widely above average at this time, before the worst of the heat becomes more confined to France and Iberia later this week.

France has already broken its May record of 30.5C, as temperatures have peaked in the low 30s each day since Thursday, and higher is still to come. Temperatures more than 10C above average are expected in places until the weekend and parts of the south-west could reach 37-38C.

Spain and Portugal have not threatened their May records (44.4C and 40.0C respectively) and are unlikely to do so, but they will have the most prolonged hot spell. Across the end of May and first part of June, temperatures will remain widely 5-10C above average across Iberia. Temperatures have peaked in the high 30s each day since Thursday and are forecast to continue doing so.

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* [New York](/us-news/new-york)
* [Weather tracker](/environment/series/weather-tracker)
* [Europe](/world/europe-news)
* [analysis](/tone/analysis)

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